Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1584 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow

DL 1584 · AUS → LAX

departs 2:05 PM CT · arrives 3:30 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1584 · AUS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?