Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1659 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11

DL 1659 · SLC → LAS

departs 11:35 AM MT · arrives 12:01 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9.33333 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1659 · SLC → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?