Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
DL 1706 · SEA → DTW
departs 11:20 AM PT · arrives 6:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Tue 11/10 19%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 18%
Fri 11/13 23%
Sat 11/14 23%
Sun 11/15 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from SEA are often late
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.01 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,567 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.