Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1716
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
DL 1716 · DTW → ORD
departs 12:35 PM ET · arrives 1:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Tue 11/10 14%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 31%
Fri 11/13 30%
Sat 11/14 37%
Sun 11/15 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 567 ft, visibility down to 1.66667 mi forecast at DTW that day
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 567 ft Visibility 1.66667 mi Precip 0.01 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.