Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1814
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
DL 1814 · SLC → SNA
departs 11:00 AM MT · arrives 12:07 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 16%
Fri 11/13 20%
Sat 11/14 18%
Sun 11/15 24%
Mon 11/16 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SNA at that hour are often late
↑
SLC is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SNA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.