DL 1826 · DTW → IAD

departs 2:51 PM ET · arrives 4:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ IAD is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

IAD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1826 · DTW → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?