Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1920
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
DL 1920 · LAX → SFO
departs 9:37 AM PT · arrives 11:01 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Tue 11/10 53%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 39%
Fri 11/13 58%
Sat 11/14 49%
Sun 11/15 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±6 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.