Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2019
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
DL 2019 · JFK → MCO
departs 9:53 AM ET · arrives 12:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Mon 11/9 12%
Tue 11/10 7%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 32%
Fri 11/13 24%
Sat 11/14 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9am departures from JFK are often late
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.