DL 2199 · SLC → SAT

took off 1:41 PM MT · expected to land 4:57 PM CT (scheduled 1:29 PM MT → 5:19 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SAT is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2199 · SLC → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?