Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2320
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
DL 2320 · RSW → JFK
departs 12:24 PM ET · arrives 3:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Tue 11/10 9%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 20%
Fri 11/13 26%
Sat 11/14 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.