Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2887
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
DL 2887 · BOS → MCO
departs 3:27 PM ET · arrives 6:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 39%
Fri 11/13 35%
Sat 11/14 16%
Sun 11/15 26%
Mon 11/16 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
3pm departures from BOS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 11,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.