Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3128
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
DL 3128 · SJC → AUS
departs 12:37 PM PT · arrives 5:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 18%
Fri 11/13 22%
Sat 11/14 13%
Sun 11/15 21%
Mon 11/16 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↑
Other factors
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUS that day
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 5 mi
Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.