Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 396 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11

DL 396 · AUS → SEA

departs 12:12 PM CT · arrives 2:46 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ DL's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 396 · AUS → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?