Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 644 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11 Yesterday

DL 644 · FLL → LGA

departs 4:06 PM ET · arrives 6:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LGA (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 644 · FLL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?