Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 716 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11

DL 716 · LGA → DEN

departs 2:20 PM ET · arrives 4:41 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 716 · LGA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?