DL 876 · SNA → DTW

took off 12:52 PM PT · landed 7:48 PM ET (scheduled 12:21 PM PT → 7:38 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DTW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 876 · SNA → DTW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DTW?