Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3887
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 3887 · YVR → SEA
departs 8:35 PM MST · arrives 8:40 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 20%
Fri 11/13 32%
Sat 11/14 29%
Sun 11/15 28%
Mon 11/16 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±4 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at YVR that day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
YVR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
YVR (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.47 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.