OO 3911 · SNA → SEA

departs 7:00 PM PT · arrives 10:08 PM PT

Your aircraft is N312SY (E75L), coming in as OO 3911 from SEA: landed 6:28 PM PT.

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from SNA are often late

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3911 · SNA → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?