OO 4067 · AUS → MFE

departs 10:39 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MFE?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MFE at that hour are often late

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at AUS that day

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

MFE (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4067 · AUS → MFE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MFE?