OO 4096 · RNO → SLC

departs 5:15 PM PT · arrives 7:56 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SLC at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

RNO (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4096 · RNO → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?