Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4179 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11 Today

OO 4179 · SNA → LAS

departs 7:59 PM PT · arrives 9:17 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from SNA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9.66667 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4179 · SNA → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?