Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4627
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 4627 · PDX → FAT
departs 10:44 AM PT · arrives 12:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at PDX that day
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.