Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5004
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 5004 · ORD → DTW
departs 6:57 PM CT · arrives 9:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 30%
Fri 11/13 36%
Sat 11/14 41%
Sun 11/15 48%
Mon 11/16 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.