Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5064
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5064 · DEC → ORD
departs 6:45 PM CT · arrives 7:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Tue 11/10 22%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 36%
Fri 11/13 37%
Sat 11/14 42%
Sun 11/15 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave DEC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DEC is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DEC (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.