Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5073
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5073 · IAH → VCT
departs 3:47 PM CT · arrives 4:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 22%
Fri 11/13 21%
Sun 11/15 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at VCT more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VCT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at VCT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to VCT?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
VCT (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.