Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5087
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 5087 · ORD → SLN
departs 9:37 PM CT · arrives 11:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 19%
Fri 11/13 31%
Sat 11/14 35%
Sun 11/15 40%
Mon 11/16 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLN more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SLN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLN?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at SLN that day
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
SLN (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.