Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5140
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 5140 · MCW → ORD
departs 6:47 PM CT · arrives 8:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 33%
Fri 11/13 37%
Sun 11/15 45%
Mon 11/16 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MCW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCW
Weather at each end
MCW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.