Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5201
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5201 · ORD → ALB
departs 4:42 PM CT · arrives 7:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Other factors
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
ALB (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.