Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5253
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5253 · ORD → CAK
departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 9:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Tue 11/10 20%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 35%
Fri 11/13 34%
Sat 11/14 37%
Sun 11/15 49%
Odds over time
Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at CAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CAK?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CAK
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.05 in
CAK (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.