Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5336
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5336 · MEM → ORD
departs 6:10 PM CT · arrives 8:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Tue 11/10 25%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 40%
Fri 11/13 43%
Sun 11/15 53%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 51% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.