Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5466
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5466 · PIA → ORD
departs 5:27 PM CT · arrives 6:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Tue 11/10 24%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 45%
Fri 11/13 44%
Sat 11/14 56%
Sun 11/15 58%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave PIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
5pm departures from PIA are often late
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
PIA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
PIA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.