Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5532
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5532 · ORD → TVC
departs 5:40 PM CT · arrives 7:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Tue 11/10 18%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 34%
Fri 11/13 32%
Sat 11/14 38%
Sun 11/15 51%
Odds over time
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at TVC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TVC?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
TVC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.03 in
TVC (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,333 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.