Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5554
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5554 · ORD → CVG
departs 6:05 PM CT · arrives 8:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Tue 11/10 15%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 34%
Fri 11/13 32%
Sat 11/14 38%
Sun 11/15 49%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,333 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.