Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5610
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5610 · ORD → CHO
departs 5:45 PM CT · arrives 8:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Tue 11/10 13%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 35%
Fri 11/13 29%
Sat 11/14 32%
Sun 11/15 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHO more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at CHO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CHO?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ORD that day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CHO
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.03 in
CHO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.