Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5624
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5624 · ORD → LEX
departs 5:59 PM CT · arrives 8:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 11/10 17%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 40%
Fri 11/13 35%
Sat 11/14 38%
Sun 11/15 52%
Odds over time
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at LEX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LEX?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
LEX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.03 in
LEX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,333 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.