Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5659
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5659 · ORD → CHA
departs 6:04 PM CT · arrives 8:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Tue 11/10 12%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 32%
Fri 11/13 32%
Sat 11/14 35%
Sun 11/15 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at CHA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CHA?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
CHA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.05 in
CHA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.