Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5706 · SFO → MFR
departs 4:44 PM PT · arrives 6:18 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Tue 11/10 44%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 34%
Fri 11/13 45%
Sat 11/14 36%
Sun 11/15 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MFR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MFR?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SFO that day
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
MFR (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.