Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5719
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5719 · ORD → TYS
departs 6:15 PM CT · arrives 9:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Tue 11/10 14%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 30%
Fri 11/13 30%
Sat 11/14 32%
Sun 11/15 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
TYS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.05 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,467 ft Visibility 5.33333 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.