Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5734
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5734 · FNT → ORD
departs 6:23 PM ET · arrives 6:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Tue 11/10 19%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 39%
Fri 11/13 42%
Sat 11/14 47%
Sun 11/15 52%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave FNT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ORD that day
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at FNT that day
Weather at each end
FNT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.