Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5765
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5765 · HSV → ORD
departs 6:16 PM CT · arrives 8:26 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 11/10 18%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 35%
Fri 11/13 37%
Sat 11/14 37%
Sun 11/15 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV
Weather at each end
HSV (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,133 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.05 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.