Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5805
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 5805 · SAT → ORD
departs 5:33 PM CT · arrives 8:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Tue 11/10 20%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 30%
Fri 11/13 32%
Sun 11/15 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SAT that day
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.04 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.