Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5830
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 5830 · ORD → FWA
departs 8:00 PM CT · arrives 10:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 28%
Fri 11/13 32%
Sun 11/15 44%
Mon 11/16 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at FWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FWA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
FWA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,633 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
FWA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.