Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5940
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 5940 · ORD → TUS
departs 7:55 PM CT · arrives 11:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 37%
Fri 11/13 40%
Sat 11/14 35%
Sun 11/15 57%
Mon 11/16 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
TUS is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
TUS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.