Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5941
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 5941 · MSN → ORD
departs 6:56 PM CT · arrives 8:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 30%
Fri 11/13 35%
Sun 11/15 40%
Mon 11/16 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MSN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSN
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.