QK 652 · YVR → PDX

took off 2:47 PM MST · expected to land 2:41 PM PT (scheduled 2:20 PM MST → 2:45 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

LIVE

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1pm departures from YVR are often late

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

PDX (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 652 · YVR → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?