Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 562 LANDED 11:34 AM PT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, November 11 Today

TA 562 · SAL → SFO

took off · landed 11:34 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SFO that day

Weather at each end

SAL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 562 · SAL → SFO

Odds over time