Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 563 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:35 PM PT, ETA 8:38 PM CST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, November 11 Today

TA 563 · SFO → SAL

took off 1:35 PM PT · expected to land 8:38 PM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 563 · SFO → SAL

Odds over time