Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

TAP AIR PORTUGAL · FLIGHT TP 248 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:54 AM PT, ETA 5:02 AM WET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, November 11 Today

TP 248 · LAX → LIS

took off 10:54 AM PT · expected to land 5:02 AM WET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LIS more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from LAX are often late

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LIS

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LIS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TP 248 · LAX → LIS

Odds over time