UA 1155 · EWR → AUS

departs 1:27 PM ET · arrives 4:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling10,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1155 · EWR → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?