Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1335 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11

UA 1335 · CVG → ORD

departs 1:55 PM ET · arrives 2:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±6 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling8,333 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.07 in

ORD (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1335 · CVG → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?